| dc.description.abstract | MUHAMMAD SADDAM Factors Influencing the Export of Arabica Coffee from
North Sumatra to Five Main Destination Countries (Supervised by RAHMANTA)
The export of Arabica coffee from North Sumatra to various destination
countries has fluctuated over the past decade. During this period, five main
countries have consistently been the primary importers in large quantities: the
United States, Japan, Germany, Belgium, and Canada. However, in recent years,
export demand from these countries has shown a declining trend. This study aims
to examine the impact of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the destination
countries, the exchange rate of the rupiah, the price of Arabica coffee in the
international market, and the domestic price of Arabica coffee on the export volume
of Arabica coffee from North Sumatra during the period 2018–2023. The research
method applied is panel data regression analysis. The independent variables in this
study include the GDP of the destination countries, the rupiah exchange rate, the
international price of Arabica coffee, and the domestic price of Arabica coffee in
North Sumatra, while the dependent variable analyzed is the export volume of
Arabica coffee from the region. The estimation model used in the panel data
regression analysis is the Fixed Effect Model with cross-section weight correction.
The research results indicate that, simultaneously, the independent variables,GDP
of the destination countries, rupiah exchange rate, international Arabica coffee
price, and domestic Arabica coffee price, affect the export volume of Arabica coffee
from North Sumatra at a 5 percent significance level. Partially, the GDP of the
destination countries has a negative and significant effect on export volume, while
the rupiah exchange rate and the international price of Arabica coffee show a
positive and significant effect. Conversely, the domestic price of Arabica coffee has
a negative impact on export volume, but its effect is not significant.
Keywords: domestic price, international price, GDP, rupiah exchange rate, panel
data. | en_US |
